Confidence guide

An estimate is only as strong as its evidence.

Data confidence describes the evidence behind an estimate. It is separate from price stability, rarity, or whether the price will rise.

High
Stronger supporting evidence

More consistent, more usable evidence with fewer major limitations. It remains an estimate, never a guaranteed trade price.

106 records
Medium
Useful direction, meaningful limits

The evidence supports a practical range, but the sample, consistency, recency, or exact comparability leaves room for caution.

150 records
Low
A starting point, not a verdict

Limited or weaker evidence. Check current listings and negotiate carefully before relying on the displayed range.

398 records

Confidence is not stability

A well-observed item can still trade across a wide band. High data confidence means the ledger has stronger evidence; it does not mean every trader agrees on one exact price. Stability is shown separately as Stable, Variable, or Volatile.

What affects confidence

Signal strength

A clear supported trade carries more weight than an unsupported asking price.

Consistency

Evidence that clusters around a similar range is easier to use than widely conflicting observations.

Comparability

The exact item, roll, variant, currency, platform, and market conditions need to be genuinely comparable.