Methodology

Evidence first. Certainty second.

FO76 Price Ledger is a dated snapshot of the Fallout 76 PC trading market. It turns usable observations into practical ranges while keeping the limits of that evidence visible.

01 · Scope

PC trades only

Console markets can behave differently, so they are not mixed into these estimates. Every displayed range uses the currency shown on the record, normally Caps or Leader Bobbleheads, and applies only to the exact item or variant named.

02 · Data source

Collected manually from public trade channels

NaughtySausage manually reviewed publicly viewable Fallout 76 PC trade posts in Discord trading channels and recorded usable item and price observations one by one. The work was independent and deliberately manual: no Discord bot, scraper, self-bot, automated account, automated collection, private-channel access, or access-control bypass was used.

Manual reviewPublicly viewable postsNo bots or scrapingSanitized publication
03 · Evidence types

Different signals stay different

Seller asks

The price a seller requests. Useful market evidence, but not proof that somebody paid it.

Buyer offers

The price a buyer publicly offers. It shows demand without being presented as a seller valuation.

Completion signals

Used cautiously. A sold or DONE marker alone does not prove that the visible price was accepted.

04 · Cleaning

Reposts do not become fake demand

  • Exact repeated reposts from the same source are collapsed.
  • Genuine price changes are retained as separate observations.
  • Overlapping screenshots and copied-text duplicates are removed.
  • Bundles and auctions are interpreted conservatively instead of inventing individual sale prices.
  • Struck-through listings are not treated as proof that the visible price was accepted.
05 · Valuation

How a displayed range is read

The estimated low and high describe a reasonable market band supported by the usable evidence for that record. Signal count shows the size of the usable evidence base. Confidence describes how much weight that evidence can carry. None of those fields guarantees a sale, a quick sale, or the final price of a negotiation.

Understand confidence levels
06 · Public safety

Only a sanitized summary is published

PublishedNever published
Item, exact variant, category and currencyUsernames, profile links or private identities
Signal count, estimate, confidence and update dateRaw messages, screenshots or negotiation text
Sanitized public warning when neededPrivate evidence notes or future premium fields