Methodology

How the ledger works.

FO76 Price Ledger is a dated snapshot of the Fallout 76 PC trading market. It turns usable observations into a fair-value estimate and practical trading range while keeping the limits of that evidence visible.

Scope and source

Console markets can behave differently, so they are not mixed into these estimates. Every displayed estimate uses the currency shown on the record, normally Caps or Leader Bobbleheads, and applies only to the exact item or variant named.

NaughtySausage manually reviews publicly viewable Fallout 76 PC trade posts and records usable item and price observations one by one. No Discord bot, scraper, self-bot, automated collection, private-channel access or access-control bypass is used.

Manual reviewPublic trade postsNo bots or scrapingSanitized publication

How evidence is handled

Seller asks

The requested price. Useful market evidence, but not proof that somebody paid it.

Buyer offers

A public offer. It shows demand without being presented as a seller valuation.

Completion signals

Used cautiously. A sold or DONE marker alone does not prove the visible price was accepted.

  • Repeated reposts from the same source are collapsed.
  • Genuine price changes remain separate observations.
  • Overlapping captures and copied-text duplicates are removed.
  • Bundles and auctions are interpreted conservatively.
  • Struck-through listings are not treated as proof of a completed sale.

How to read an estimate

The estimated fair value is a single, rounded negotiation anchor. The typical range is a narrower practical guide around that estimate. Each item page also retains the broader evidence band so unusual but usable observations are not hidden. Signal count shows the size of the evidence base, while confidence shows how much weight it can carry. None of these fields guarantees a sale, a quick sale or the final price of a negotiation.

Data confidence and price stability answer different questions. Confidence describes the strength and amount of supporting evidence. Stability describes how tightly the available values agree. An item can therefore have high data confidence and still be volatile.

Understand confidence levels

Only a sanitized summary is published:

PublishedNever published
Item, exact variant, category and currencyUsernames, profile links or private identities
Signal count, fair estimate, ranges, confidence, stability and update dateRaw messages, screenshots or negotiation text
Sanitized public warning when neededPrivate evidence notes